O’Neill proposed building large manned colonies at the
L4 and L5
Earth-Moon Lagrange Points. These colonies would be cylindrical
in shape. By spinning them on their longitudinal axis, “gravity”
could be simulated via
centrifugal
force on the inside surface of the cylinder. Since centrifugal
force always acts perpendicular to the axis of rotation, “up” would
be towards the center of the cylinder, no matter where on the inside
surface of the cylinder you were standing.
The amount of “gravity” experienced at the surface would depend on
the size of the cylinder and the amount of spin it had. Thus, you
could design colonies with Earth-normal “gravity”, or more or less,
as required. As you move inward from the surface of the cylinder,
the apparent gravity would decrease. For example, if you built a
three-storey building, the apparent gravity on the first floor would
be greater than the apparent gravity on the roof. At the center of
the cylinder, the apparent gravity would be zero.
The size of the colonies depended on how big you wanted to make
them. O’Neill postulated the initial colony as being of sufficient
size to hold 10,000 people, with a self-sufficient biosphere. A
colony capable of holding 10 million was not considered out of the
question. For a good idea of what an O’Neill colony would look like,
check out the Science Fiction TV series
Babylon 5.
Obviously, building such a structure would require launching an
enormous amount of mass into orbit. And not just low Earth orbit
(LEO); the Earth-Moon L4 and L5 points are located about the same
distance from the Earth as is the Moon. The current International
Space Station, when complete, will weigh in at about 453.6 metric
tones (roughly 1 million pounds), and has taken many shuttle
missions to build. Even a 10,000 person habitat would comprise many
times that much mass, in orbit 1000 times further out than is the
ISS. But O’Neill did not postulate building it the same way that the
ISS was constructed.
Realizing that boosting the materials from Earth would be
prohibitively expensive, he and his students at Princeton, whose aid
he enlisted in developing the project, set about finding another
way. Instead of sending pre-fabricated parts into space from the
Earth, why not manufacture them in orbit? And instead of sending raw
materials from Earth, why not get them from the Moon? This lead into
investigations into lunar and asteroid mining,
mass drivers
for raw material delivery and spacecraft propulsion, as well as
research and design concepts for the colonies themselves.
And as a reason to build the colonies in the first place and
ultimately to pay for them, the construction of the aforementioned
solar power satellites. In his book, O’Neill laid out the entire
project. His research is echoed and expanded on by planetary
scientist
T.A. Heppenheimer in his book, “Colonies in Space”, also first
published in 1977. Heppenheimer saw space power satellites as being
the key to overcoming the problems envisioned in the book “Limits
to Growth”, published in 1972, which is often cited by
environmental activists and population control advocates.
In “Colonies”, Heppenheimer cites work done by J. Peter Vajk
concerning construction of solar power satellites. In Vajk’s model,
construction of the first space colony begins in 1982. It is
completed in 1988. Using lunar resources at that time, the colony is
capable of building another colony, a duplicate of itself in two
years, or building two 5 Giga-watt (GW) power satellites in one
year. By 1998, there are 16 colonies, each containing 10,000 people,
and they are turning out 32 power satellites each year. By 2007, 25
years after the start of the project, the initial investment is
repaid, and all revenues are plowed back into building more colonies
and satellites. The model does not allow the colonies to go into
debt to provide a more rapid economic return and revenues are only
obtained from the sale of electricity from the powersats, not from
any other manufacturing processes or patents that may be realized
from low or zero-gravity environments.
The cost of the project? $178 billion in 1975 dollars. The cost to
the consumer for the generated electricity? Initially 1.5 cents per
KWh, falling to 1.0 cents per KWh over time; also in constant 1975
dollars. In October 1978, Vajk published a paper entitled “Satellite
Power System (SPS) Financial/Management Scenarios” for the
Department of Energy detailing how this could come about.

Another researcher, Mark Hopkins, carried out similar studies for
NASA in the summer of 1975. Like Vajik, his model called for a lunar
mining base and orbital construction shack, with a start date in
1982. By 1987, the first lunar material is delivered to the orbital
construction shack and the work crews build the first powersat,
which is transported to the L1 point to provide additional power for
the lunar base. In 1989, the first commercial powersat is built, and
by 1999, all new and replacement power plants in the United States
use space-generated power. Meanwhile, the first space colony is
completed in 1998, additional construction facilities are completed,
and the second colony comes on line by 2011.
Total costs? $106 billion from program start through completion of
the first colony, with a net cost of $26 billion for production of
all powersats produced through 1999. As they are produced, the
powersats begin offsetting construction cost by sale of electricity,
providing an ever increasing stream of revenue estimated to be
around $80 billion per year by 2008.
The entire cost of the project, principle and interest, is paid back
by 2019, with the maximum expenditure in any given year being under
$8 billion which is comparable to the peak cost of the Apollo
program, corrected for inflation. Electrical costs to the consumer
in this model begin at 0.8 cents per KWh, and drop over time to 0.35
cents per KWh. (All numbers in constant 1975 dollars).
As might be expected, there were skeptics. In 1976, Dr Gerald
Driggers of the Southern Research Institute undertook his own
independent analysis. It was his belief that it would be more
difficult and much more expensive than either Vajk or Hopkins
estimated. To his surprise, he found that the first powersat could
be built in 1992, with the total cost for building a lunar base,
space construction facility, a colony for 6000 workers and producing
the first 20 10-GW powersats to be $102.5 billion; less than the
other two! At a subsequent press conference, he stated “I thought we
would shoot down these earlier estimates, but they were right.”
Please note: the technology to do this already exists. It existed in
1975. The timelines from start to completion are probably pretty
much the same. If we were to start in 2009, when the next president
takes office, we could potentially have the first powersat online
sometime around 2018, with a total conversion to space solar by 2020
or so.

Obviously, this would require a much more ambitious schedule than
President Bush’s planned return to the moon by 2020.
Of course, today $178 billion won’t buy what it did in 1975;
inflation over 30 years alone will drive actual dollar outlays up
considerably. But then again, electricity costs are higher as well;
you won’t be selling the power for 1.5 cents/Kwh. And the market is
world-wide, not just in the U.S. A 10 GW powersat, using current
designs, will generate 87.5 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity per
year, or 1750 TWh over its 20 year design life. At $0.22 per kWh
(cost for electricity, UK, January 2006) a 10 GW powersat would
generate $19.3 billion per year, or $386 billion over its lifetime,
assuming no increase in the amount charged for electricity.
With all activity taking place off planet, environmental impact in
the form of greenhouse gas emissions is minimal. There are no
nuclear fuel issues to deal with. No unsightly windmills to mar the
view or chop birds into tiny bits. No dams to impede the path of
spawning salmon. The rectenna are quite large, to be sure, but they
can be tucked away in desert areas where they don’t bother anyone.
Even if located in more populated areas, they can be sited such that
crops can be grown or cattle grazed beneath.
And sunlight is a “renewable” resource estimated to last for several
billion years more at the very least.
For these reasons, and because $90/barrel oil is driving up the cost
of energy significantly, space power satellites are once again being
looked
at seriously as a possible fix to the many energy and
environmental problems facing us in the future. A proposal has been
floated for setting up a small, demonstration project using a 1 MW
powersat in a 300 mile orbit beaming power down to a 260 foot
rectenna located on Helen Island, an uninhabited island belonging to
the western Pacific nation of Palau.

Headed up by American entrepreneur Kevin Reed, the project is a long
way from the grandiose visions of O’Neill and Heppenheimer. The
amount of electricity generated would be enough to power 1,000
homes, and with a 300 mile orbit, the satellite would only be
overhead for 5 minutes once every 90 minutes or so, necessitating
some sort of long-term battery storage. And, being only 300 miles up
instead of at geosynch, it will be in Earth’s shadow for half its
orbit at which time it will generate no power. Still, as a proof of
concept demonstrator, it would be groundbreaking, potentially
heralding a whole new industry. And there is no reason why
additional rectennas can’t be built along its flight path.
Reed’s joint U.S.-Swiss-German consortium to begin manufacturing the
necessary solar components within two years, and hopes to attract
financial support from manufacturers of the other necessary
components – launch vehicles, satellites, transmission technology –
eager to demonstrate how their technologies can support such a
project. The estimated cost for the project is $800 million, with
completion, if all goes well, as early as 2012.
Considering the potential profits to be made, one would think that
there would be some venture capitalists somewhere who might be
interested in backing the project. Perhaps some dot com millionaires
who grew up with this stuff and might be interested in an investment
in the future. Perhaps someone like
Dennis Tito
or Mark
Shuttleworth, both who ponied up as much as $20 million to spend
a week in space courtesy of the Russian space agency.
Or perhaps Elon
Musk, who has worked in the past with
Robert Zubrin
on the Mars
Direct project. Musk, a cofounder of PayPal, is also the CEO and
CTO of SpaceX, a company that
develops and manufactures space launch vehicles, which he also
founded. He is also the principal owner and Chairman of the Board of
Tesla Motors, a company
which is attempting to build cost-effective electric automobiles for
the mass market, as well as the primary investor and Chairman of the
Board of SolarCity, a
photovoltaics products and services startup company. His stated
goal? To help combat global warming. Space solar applications would
dovetail nicely with his goals and previous investments.
There are people who are interested in making all this happen. For
more information, visit the websites of the
National Space Society and the
Space Studies Institute. They will get
you started.
It’s raining soup out there; all we need is a bowl and a spoon! And
the will to start, and complete the project.
Further information:
•
Lagrange Points
•
“Whatever happened to Solar Power Satellites?”, The Space Review, 30
Aug 2004
•
“Bright Future for Solar Power Satellites”, Space.com, 17 Oct 2001
•
“Solar Satellites Will Power Earth, Scientists Say”, Space.com, 8
Sep 2000
NOTES:
1 KiloWatt (KW) = 1000 Watts of power, or about enough energy to
power a small home.
1 MegaWatt (MW) = 1000 KiloWatts of power
1 GigaWatt (GW) = 1000 MegaWatts of power
1 TeraWatt (TW) = 1000 GigaWatts of power, which is
1,000,000,000,000 watts - a very large number!
1 KWh = one KiloWatt of power expended for one hour of time.
1 TWh = one TeraWatt of power expended for one hour of time.

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